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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class III Part I [9.1.15]

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The End of Religion by 2021

It is an amazingly fast transformation by sociological standards, I think. So is the Thatcher revolution? Yes. Just a switch, almost on a nine. But less than that, because there are always had been a free market conservatives. The tension of civil liberties could domain. It's very difficult for us human beings to conceive of black swans that involve mutations of human nature.

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