On this week’s episode of Horizon Podcast, John Chang breaks down the Fed’s latest rate cut, why he thinks it’s driven more by confidence and political pressure than liquidity, and what the dot plot implies for the next few years. He explains how lower rates could briefly unjam CRE deal flow, then pivots to retail where inflation-adjusted sales are still rising and household leverage looks manageable relative to income. John also maps out how a mild, tariff- and labor-constraint-driven slowdown could create winners and losers by market, highlighting durability, policy orientation, industry mix, and overdevelopment risk as key filters. He closes with a demographic tailwind for consumption as millennials move deeper into peak earning years.
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