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Global Catastrophic Biological Risks
Global catastrophic risks, g c rs are roughly defined as risk that threaten great world wide damage to human welfare and place the long term trajectory of human kind in jeopardy. I write from a broadly long term us Perspective, roughly, that there is profound moral concern about how humanity's future goes. When applying this perspective to biological risks, the issue of whether a given event threatens the long term trajectories of human kind becomes key. My guess work is the thres old for when a biological event starts to threaten human civilization is high. A rough indicator is a death tol of ten % of the human population, at the upper limit of all disasters ever observed in human history. According to this threshold