Is Everyone Susceptible to Judgment?

3min Snip

00:00

Play full episode

Summary

Transcript

Episode notes

To what extent do we default to just believing what wehear? Verses, we default of being sceptical? And it takes a lot to convince us of something. hugo mercier's book makes the case that we're not susceptible and irrational as we've been led to believe by 50 years of cognitive research. There there are real differences as to whether we're naturally sceptics or naturally gullible. Ar, i can see that e the pendulum had gone in the direction of the assumption that people are not rational. That's become sort of the establishment. Wdoyou.

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.