Empowering yourself with forecasting | David Chee | EAGxVirtual 2022
EA Talks
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How to Write a Probability to Your Predictions
If you guys would like to write down some some sort of bets you may have made recently and chat that would be great I'll leave a couple minutes for people to just think about that. Let me look through chat recently. I'm scrolling of the chance seeing everyone laughing at the cheeky toilet into lead. So then how can we actually like reframe this sort of like these internal thoughts into a way that's a bit more actionable? The first thing to do is you want to assign a probability. This is the most basic thing and this is something you probably already subconsciously doYou're probably just doing it and oh it's pretty likely or it's really unlikely right, but trying
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