The Judication Problem Is a Deep One

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Scientists tend to think that we're radically different from other people's because our system of beliefs is the true one. So there is some ther needful balance here to try to understand why, where do beliefs come from? But also, the judication problem seems to be a deep one. If you just take the israel dol conflict in the middle east that's been going on for over half a century. And each that's above all of us. How how would you possibly adjudicate that, short of war or whatever,. as opposed to other countries that might go to the u? N? and have a council meeting of where the border should be drawn, or whatever?, he asks

Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.

Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.