28min chapter

The Joe Walker Podcast cover image

Peter Turchin — Why Societies Fall Apart (And Why the US May Be Next)

The Joe Walker Podcast

CHAPTER

The Predictability of Future Events in Human Societies

This chapter explores the predictability of future events in human societies, highlighting the limitations and challenges faced when trying to accurately predict arbitrary events in the future. It discusses the role of triggers in determining the timing of outbreaks of violence or major societal events, and delves into the predictability of certain aspects of history and the course of human civilization.

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