In this episode, Piper Sandler Senior Analyst Crispin Love, discusses the current trends, misconceptions, and outlook in the mortgage finance space. He explains how mortgage rates have fluctuated from 7% to 6% recently and the impact on mortgage originations and refinancing volumes. Crispin highlights the significance of the rate of change in mortgage rates over their absolute levels and examines the factors influencing purchase and refinance activity. The conversation covers key data sources such as Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association for tracking mortgage activity. Further, Crispin delves into how companies have adapted to lower profit margins in a challenging environment and the advancements in AI tools being used. The discussion also touches on home equity loans (HELOCs) and closed-end seconds and how they have become more popular as people remain locked into their homes. The episode concludes with insights into the political backdrop, including recent policies from the Trump administration aimed at stimulating housing activity and addressing affordability, and Crispin’s outlook on the industry for 2026, along with some of his favorite stock picks.
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