The Four Villains to Decision Making

There's two things that they use to identify the bookends That I think you can apply pretty generally. Pre-parade is similar to a pre-mortem, but it's assuming success instead of failure So instead of looking back at the end of the project and identifying what went right what went wrong Assuming at the very beginning, what's the absolute best case scenario for this thing? The four villains To decision making are narrow framing only looking at one or two options Confirmation bias, short-term emotion trying to make decisions in the moment rather than getting some distance from it And overconfidence placing too much weight on our own mentality in our own facts.