Empowering yourself with forecasting | David Chee | EAGxVirtual 2022
EA Talks
00:00
How Can You Quantify Your Confidence?
The act of writing something down makes you just think a little bit more about it I think. It's very easy if you don't write it down to become biased and think you were right all along. And then what do I mean by quantify your confidence. We'll go into a more detail later but you're basically assigning sort of like a percentage of like how correct you think you will be. So there's the prediction itself and then there's how likely you think you are to be right.
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