Alex Lawsen—Forecasting AI Progress
The Inside View
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Is There a Drop in the Metaclus Position?
The metaclus position t had lik, those two drops, and right now it went a litl bit more up. Maybe because there's like no not emech evidence, or be more like obdating. I do now they just like thinking like, oh, maybe we went to to harden those kind of things. And the otstile is, yes. So what's going on here? I think a lot of forecasters are bad. You see a bunch of twidde hipe about time line suddenly being short, and you go, oh, crab, i haven't up dated my metaculous pedation in five months.maybe i should just shade it down
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