The Counterfactual Problem With Predictions

There's a huge power disparity between the people who make predictions in the world and those who have more power can actually actualize some of the things that predict it. I don't think there's ever going to, there's no perfect solution to this because of the counterfactual problem. You need mechanisms for factoring that possibility into your decision calculus if you're an organization relying on forecasting tournaments for input,. probability inputs into decisions.