Psychology has greatly improved. The standards are way higher than they were a decade ago, clearly because of this crisis. So it's all good news, except for some people who don't talk to each other. That's funny. Yes. And a, it seems like your life's work has been to show how complex human behavior and cognition is. It can't be just one variable that explains so much data. Ah. But neither of these things matters one bit. What does matter is that psychology has greatly improved. Well, you know, it's a very interesting story because, ah, the the people believed in priming ten years ago mostly still believe in it, and in fact
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.