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The Role of Heuristics in Leadership
You can measure how the system is disposed to act. What we're talking about in convexity is you're dealing with systems which don't have linear causality, but they do have dispositional states. And there's a trigger point on this. It's one of the things we worked on how to measure encounter terrorism ironically, where the population as a whole will accept the sort of sacrifices we need to deal with global warming. Now just telling them they need to make those sacrifices now means they won't and people like Donald Trump will gain dominance. So this isn't a, we can't afford it. It's actually, you can't afford not to and you should have started it