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#200 – Ezra Karger on what superforecasters and experts think about existential risks

80,000 Hours Podcast

CHAPTER

Understanding Rare Risk Perception

This chapter discusses how individuals perceive and assess the probabilities of uncommon causes of death, like bee stings, compared to more frequent risks such as lightning strikes. It emphasizes the impact of statistical context on our understanding of these rare events and the importance of relevant comparisons in risk evaluation.

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