Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class II Part I [8.24.15]
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The Philosophy of the Good Judgment Project
Danny Cevallos: The Good Judgment Project is trying to find a more progressive way to create forecasting hedgehogs. He says the project has been influenced by Anders Eriksson's work on debiasing and Naseem Taleb's views on Black Swans, tail risk. "We're not saying that anybody can do it if you could do your 10,000 hours of practice," he adds. 'It certainly helps to be above average intelligence'
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