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How can we harness the wisdom of the crowd?

Simplifying Complexity

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Exploring the Concept of Markets as Speculation and Aggregation of Information

This chapter explores the concept of markets as a form of betting or speculation, and how they can aggregate information from various sources to potentially improve forecasting methods. It also discusses the enjoyment and learning experience of participating in these markets and evaluates their predictive abilities using performance measures like the Briar score.

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