Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class II Part I [8.24.15]
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The Relationship Between Time Spent and Forecasting Ability
Philip Klein: How often do you update your forecast? That's huge. But how do you get the time? Well, we don't have a good measure, Doug. He says on average, they've got to be some correlation. "I think people need to be able to try to track long-term," he says.
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