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Tom Chivers | It's Bayes All The Way Down... Probability & Bayes Theorem

Curious Worldview

CHAPTER

Navigating Uncertainty with Bayesian Insights

This chapter examines the practical applications of Bayes' theorem in the context of COVID-19 and antibody testing, highlighting public misconceptions and the evolution of understanding through social media. It explores the complexities of decision-making under uncertainty, emphasizing the need for informed choices amid unforeseen events and cognitive biases. Through engaging discussions, it underscores the balance between confidence in predictions and the acceptance of life's unpredictability.

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