4min chapter

Goldman Sachs Exchanges cover image

Will Fed policy trigger a US recession?

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

CHAPTER

The Dual Nature of Unemployment Rates

This chapter explores how the unemployment rate can serve as a complex indicator of economic health, revealing that rising rates might signal future growth rather than recession. It emphasizes the need for careful interpretation of labor market trends, including declines in hiring and quit rates, alongside employer caution regarding layoffs.

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