In this conversation, conservative pundit Sabrina Maddeaux and economist Mike Moffatt discuss the evolving landscape of political polling with David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data. They explore the significant shifts in voter sentiment influenced by key events such as Justin Trudeau's exit, Mark Carney's rise, and the impact of Donald Trump. The discussion delves into demographic changes, the emergence of a precarity mindset among voters, and the implications for the Liberal Party and the NDP. The conversation also touches on regional dynamics, particularly in Quebec, and the challenges of predicting voter turnout in the upcoming federal election.
00:00 Introduction
01:24 Shifting Political Landscape in Canada
04:08 Is this temporary or permanent?
05:13 The demographic shift in people’s attitudes towards the Liberals
06:52 Understanding the precarity mindset
09:40 Why Mark Carney has an advantage
12:19 The collapse of the NDP vote?
15:50 How do projection models work?
17:51 The incumbency factor
20:33 Regional dynamics in the Quebec factor
23:20 Undecided voters and voter turnout
25:05 Election call predictions
26:36 Remembering Gordon Brown
Links
"Ok, Boomer" - Why Baby Boomers might be the Liberal Party's saviours
Gordon Brown
Hosted by Mike Moffatt & Cara Stern & Sabrina Maddeaux
Produced by Meredith Martin
This podcast is funded by the Neptis Foundation and brought to you by the Smart Prosperity Institute.
