You Are Not So Smart cover image

002 - The Illusion of Knowledge

You Are Not So Smart

How to Make a Fun Hobby Out of Predicting the Future

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When people predict what the future is going to be like, whether it's a flying car or it's people with shoes that have hot air balloons on them, it's always really, really wrong. And that seems to translate over into politics, technology, financial markets and everything. The political culture I mean to have these forecasts and rely on them too much. It does sort of upset me when people, you know, trust those things far far too much.

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