
1 – What Use is Rationality?
The Bayesian Conspiracy
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The Importance of Intuition
The Bayesian priors for any real life problem aren't available. If you're estimating, how are you doing better than someone using their knowledge and intuition? Well, you aren't. I have to have the input in order to make the output. The perfect rationalist would expect it to lose to the chess grandmaster. But if you apply the methods of rationality, you have generally the hope is better knowledge and better intuition through the, you know, rationality process.
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