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Odd Lots Live: What to Watch on Election Night and Beyond

Odd Lots

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Polling, Betting, and Market Dynamics

This chapter explores the interplay between economic indicators, political developments, and their influence on market dynamics, particularly during election season. It uncovers the limitations of polling data, the behavior of traders in prediction markets, and the uncertainty surrounding electoral outcomes and monetary policy. The discussion highlights trends in voter turnout across different areas and the biases inherent in polling methodologies, while reflecting on personal experiences in election-related betting.

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