This chapter delves into the intense competition between Trump and Biden for swing voters in key states, with Trump holding a slight lead. It discusses the statistical voter behavior model by UGov, highlighting the impact of religion on voting preferences and the sources of new support for Trump. The chapter also explores the voting patterns of different demographic groups and the importance of issue emphasis for Biden to win back swing voters.
We have combined polling data to make a detailed portrait of the American electorate. Have a tinker with our interactive model: plug in their age, sex, religion, and more, and let us estimate how your hypothetical voter will vote in the presidential election. Allegations of extortion at the Rafah crossing out of Gaza (09:57). And, a tribute to an heiress-turned-IRA bombmaker (20:17).
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