5min chapter

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas cover image

207 | William MacAskill on Maximizing Good in the Present and Future

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

CHAPTER

How Do You Handle Tiny Probabilities of Huge Sums of Value?

The chances of a pandemic that would wipe out all of humanity are enormously big. How do we know what these crazy, small probabilities are? And it's super hard to get them more and more precise. But one thing we can do is start making estimates a little more reliable.

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