Can You Really Get Better at Probabilistic Estimates?

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I think people really can be trained in this skill and I think that's a surprising fact. We actually built a series of tools to help people do this. One is called common misconceptions test where you have to bet points based on how confident you are that you're right on each of them. And then we have a more advanced tool to follow up on that called calibrate your judgment, which allows you to practice on thousands of questions.

How can we better make decisions under uncertainty? What are some of the different ways of being uncertain? What are some powerful venture patterns? How can founders and venture capitalists reduce risk in their startups and portfolios? What is the nature of innovation? How can investing be used to do good in the world?

Miles Lasater has started 3 companies, 2 nonprofits, and 1 family with 4 kids. He has been a founder, VC, angel investor, business school professor, board member, donor, improv comedian, and dancer. He currently is Founding Partner of Purpose Built Ventures and serves on the board of tech nonprofit Curious Learning. Miles also hosts a podcast called Startups for Good (which you can also follow on Twitter at @startups4good). Find out more at mileslasater.com.

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