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12min chapter
Can we ever trust the US polls?
The New Statesman | UK politics and culture
Polling Uncertainty: Lessons for 2024
This chapter examines the evolving reliability of exit polls in U.S. elections, reflecting on past experiences from significant elections like 1980 and 2016. It emphasizes the challenges of accurate polling, particularly the underrepresentation of less educated voters and the impact of mistrust in polling institutions. The discussion sets the stage for the upcoming 2024 Presidential election, analyzing key dynamics and potential implications for candidates like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
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