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Episode 3: Confirmatio Praeiudicia

Nullius in Verba

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Is There a Difference Between Null Results and Negative Results?

In experiments, if there is no effect and people only publish significant results, then the type 1 errors should fall on both sides in both directions. Sometimes you find a positive type 1 error, which would then maybe support your prediction. So it seems that people really dislike effects in the opposite direction, even if they are significant. That's pretty strong dislike of things that disprove them, right?

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