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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class III Part II [9.1.15]

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The Importance of Culture in the Airbus Crash

There are cultural factors involved in that crash, not actually interface design factors. I mean, it was interface design to a very simple state. That's not what everything fits. So there's probably a tendency here where people attribute the causes of the problem to those elements which are easiest to rectify. It's relatively hard to redesign the cockpit on Airbus completely, whereas it's easy to fix Peter's tubes. As rare as all these accidents are, they're incredibly rare.

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