
Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class IV Part II [9.15.15]
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The Role of Hedgehogs in the Intelligence Community
There's a debate in the research literature about whether sacred values are really pseudo-sacred. It's an interesting example of how even though we claim to have a great deal of a great concern for protecting sacred values, we often can switch it off tactically. And then the secondary piece of that is to one extent can somebody be both a fox and a hedgehog? Is that an impossible set? Well Isaiah Berlin certainly thought hybrid creatures were possible. They said Halstoy was a hedgehog who wanted to be a fox or a fox who wanted to being a hedgehog. But could he be? Well he would be a bine. Yes he would bea hedgehog. Yeah
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