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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class IV Part II [9.15.15]

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The Role of Superforecasters in the Social Crop

Larry Summers made controversial remarks when he was chief economist at the World Bank. He wondered out loud in a memo why Central Africa was so under polluted. Superforecasters do not have a problem with speculating about generating hypotheses, says David Frum. "These generations would never be a taboo topic for superforecasters"

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