#76 (Bonus) - Is P(doom) meaningful? Debating epistemology (w/ Liron Shapira)
Increments
Engineering Satellites: Theories and Probabilities
This chapter explores the application of established physical theories, such as general relativity, in satellite design while grappling with the uncertainties inherent in physics. The discussion critically examines the Bayesian approach to hypotheses against the backdrop of real-world engineering scenarios and decision-making processes. It delves into the complexities of epistemology, the generation of ideas, and the interplay between different scientific frameworks in tackling high-stakes projects like satellite launches.
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