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Oil demand is booming, OPEC’s real spare capacity may be close to exhausted, and a massive mining and EM growth boom is forming in the background, so why is crude still stuck around $60?
In this interview with James Connor, Bison Interest’s Founder & CIO, Josh Young, explains why oil is deeply mispriced, not because of weak demand or strong supply, but because of near-historic low speculative positioning and the equivalent of over a billion “paper barrels” sold into the futures market. He breaks down OPEC’s new spare-capacity “audit,” the rise of a global shadow oil system created by weakly enforced sanctions, and why the next major move in oil may be driven by a demand shock, not a supply crisis.
Josh also discusses why official data may be understating China’s true oil consumption, how inflated EV sales numbers distort the demand narrative, and why the U.S., now a net exporter, may actually benefit from higher oil prices. He finishes by outlining where he sees the best opportunities in energy today, from Canadian producers supported by a strong USD to overlooked small-cap service companies trading far below replacement cost.
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