Intro

Home prices are about to “bend”...but will they break? The 2026 housing market could be another year of a correction, but how low could we go?

Last week, we gave our mortgage rate predictions for 2026; this week, we’re focusing on home price forecasts. The housing market is stuck, and something needs to give. Americans can’t afford homes at these high prices, but with so many “locked-in” homeowners, where will the new supply come from? There are a few scenarios that could unfold, with different results that could greatly impact your buying, selling, and wealth-building.

This year feels…different. And while Dave shares his “most likely” scenario for home prices, two other scenarios (“upside” and “downside”) aren’t worth ruling out just yet. One “X factor” could shoot home prices high, with Americans rushing back to buy. But a downside risk could drive our correction even deeper. Dave describes the rental properties he’s looking to buy during this year of opportunity, along with the rules you must follow so you don’t get burned. 

In This Episode We Cover

2026 home price predictions and whether the correction will continue into next year

The one crucial factor driving home prices (and what happens when it changes)

The “range” that home prices could be in this year, and what inflation-adjusted prices will look like

The “X factor” that has a chance to reset the hot housing market and drive down mortgage rates 

What Dave is buying now and his exact buy box for “The Great Stall” market we’re entering 

And So Much More!

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