Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class III Part II [9.1.15]
EdgeCast
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The Importance of Night Novelties
"I was sitting there trying to be popular, certain claims of events that have the same human or a city's other entities," he says. "How could it be that we don't have to drink and drive? That's, that's way worse than whether it's mostly involved." He adds: "If you could get your experiment by saying find a place where somebody goes to find a placewhere they don't drink, they don't want to drive?"
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