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Holden Karnofsky - Transformative AI & Most Important Century
Dwarkesh Podcast
The Track Record of the Future
"I don't think there's anyone who has demonstrated a real ability to predict the future with precision and know exactly what we should do," he says. "But I also don't think humans track record of this is so bad and so devastating that we shouldn't think we are capable of at least giving it a shot." He adds: "If you enter into this endeavor with self-awareness about the fact that everything is less reliable than it appears and feels at first glance, I think it's worth doing"
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