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5min chapter
Alex Lawsen—Forecasting AI Progress
The Inside View
Is It Possible to Predict Artificial General Intelligence in Lovea?
People like to predict artificial general intelligence in lovea, so me so sute nav of this poncas athe inside view. One claim was that some events always went into the same direction. And an obdate more a doing a batan idates a more strongly in some direction. There's another thing, which is, like, maybe if you see a forecast plots. Er, i think there have been people who've looked at one line and gone, ok, well, the line's going in one direction. But sometimes this is actually correct, sometimes slow to up, whatever.
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