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Will Fed policy trigger a US recession?
Goldman Sachs Exchanges
Understanding the SOM Rule and Its Implications for Economic Indicators
This chapter explores the creation and operation of the SOM rule, designed to signal the need for fiscal stimulus during economic downturns. It highlights the careful construction of this reliable indicator based on historical recession data, while also addressing its recent activation and the ensuing debates about its predictive accuracy amidst positive economic trends.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode