2min chapter

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Holden Karnofsky - Transformative AI & Most Important Century

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

Is the Growth Rate in Zero AD a Good Parameter?

The growth rate and zero AD matter for this argument. It's a question of like, how does economic growth work generally? And what is the trend that we're on if that trend continues? If all those things are true, then it starts to point to a general pattern. The growth is accelerating and maybe accelerating for a particular reason. Therefore, you might expect more acceleration. But I'm still not convinced that just because we this is a weird century that is any implications for why or whether we should see transformer to be either century.

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