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Downstream: How To Predict the Future w/ Peter Turchin

Novara Media

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The Arab Spring and the Youth Bulge

North Africa has all of these things combined, which is what explains the Arab Spring. Where else do we see these three things combined right now? Well, in the United States, we had a smaller youth bulge because they tend to follow the generational things. But it sort of peaked during the late 2010s. So, right now, it's declining. There is still happening in the Black African South, in South Africa. And that's where we should see a lot of political disfunction in the next year or two.

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