2min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Polls Haven't Been This Accurate Since At Least 1998

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Are We Going to Ban Trafalgar Pollsters?

A not infrequent complaint that we get is that we consider Trafalgar at all in our ratings. A lot of people, particularly a lot of Democrats, would love to see them banned. We have a very high threshold for banning pollsters, which is basically that they have to have like made up data. The models are just based on the bloodless facts.

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