
41. The Folly of Prediction
Freakonomics Radio
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Why Do We Pray So Hard That God Decides to Spare Us?
The incentives are all encouraging you to make predictions, Steve Leavitt says. If the flip side were that if I make a false prediction, I'm immediately sent to prison for one-year term, there'll be almost no prediction,. All those football pundits and political pundits and financial pundits wouldn't be able to wriggle out of their bad calls - they'd just say my timing was wrong.
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