The Unknowability of Complex Systems

In your book, you talk really about the U.S., but also touch upon other polities in the West. What are the trends that we see right now? Let's stick with the United States, which could mean that it's headed towards potentially things like civil war, revolution, state breakdown. One common feature of the road to crisis is the condition that we call elite overproduction. The next question we want to ask is why do elites become periodically dysfunctional?