Each of us has some influence within a narrow domain. And it's not that we can solve problems, but we can achieve marginal improvements. In order to get a real improvement, inte well, i'm not a conservative, but so i never thought i'd hear myself saying, liz chaney is my hero. But look what happened to her. That's the t we are.
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients. Now imagine that the same doctor making a different decision depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. This is an example of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical.
Shermer speaks with Nobel Prize winning psychologist and economist Daniel Kahneman about the detrimental effects of noise and what we can do to reduce both noise and bias, and make better decisions in: medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.