Outro

This week, we dig into the government shutdown, weakening labor markets, AI’s role in productivity, Michael Howell’s demographic analysis, and how fiscal and market structure dynamics set the stage for a potential risk-asset melt-up. Enjoy!

—

Follow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_

Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp

Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc

Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_

Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx

Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance

—

Join us at Digital Asset Summit in London October 13-15. Use code FORWARD200 for £200 OFF

https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-london

__

Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1qHbnslxFOFZXswRiw0yv1JCyplgm8haE/view?usp=sharing

—

This Forward Guidance episode is brought to you by VanEck.

Learn more about the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH):

http://vaneck.com/SMHFelix

Learn more about the VanEck Fabless Semiconductor ETF (SMHX):

vaneck.com/SMHXFelix

—

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(03:09) DAS London!

(04:06) Government Shutdown

(06:42) Labor Weakness Continues

(13:45) VanEck Ad

(14:31) Demographic Decay of Advanced Economies

(17:18) Are You Ready for Negative Real Yields?

(19:20) The Macro Stars Are Aligning

(24:40) Is it a Bubble or Not?

(29:53) VanEck Ad

(30:33) Is it a Bubble or Not?

(31:40) Gaming Out Trump Admin Policy

(38:06) Is there a Bear Case?

(41:27) Strong USD, Strong Economy

(43:52) Does the Bull Market Have Legs?

(51:14) Best Bear Case

(53:16) Final Thoughts

—

Disclaimer: Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are opinions, not financial advice. Hosts and guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

#Macro #Investing #Markets #ForwardGuidance