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The Plausibility of Global Catastrophic Risks
The plausibility of g c bas the case that biological, global catastrophic risks are a credible and urgent threat to humankind arises from a few different sources of evidence. None have approached extinction level, nor had discernible long run negative impacts on global civilization that approached g c b r levels. The balance of expert opinion on the likelihood of these sorts of events is hard to assess - although impression is that there is substantial skepticism. Yet the extrepellation is extremely uncertain and indictable expert opinion. On all this more later.