Alex Lawsen—Forecasting AI Progress
The Inside View
00:00
Is It the Firs Cor Curve or Just a Celebration Plot?
The idea is, yet, you made a bunch of forcasts between like 50 and 60 %. Hopefully the number of times they came true was somewhere between 50 and 60%. And yes, certainly, when these things are like miles away from each other, it's just way easier than trying to keep track in your head of all the things you've said you're confident in. Anything about being under over confident is kind of visual when you have te is it the firs cor curve, or just a accuracy curve? A ye, dea friend like bens.
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