Pocket Nukes, Timelines, and Resource Scale

AGI timelines, offense/defense balance, evolution vs engineering, how to lower P(Doom), Eliezer Yudkowksy, and much more!

Timestamps:

00:00 Trailer

03:10 Is My P(Doom) Lowering?

11:29 First Caller: AI Offense vs Defense Balance

16:50 Superintelligence Skepticism

25:05 Agency and AI Goals

29:06 Communicating AI Risk

36:35 Attack vs Defense Equilibrium

38:22 Can We Solve Outer Alignment?

54:47 What is Your P(Pocket Nukes)?

1:00:05 The “Shoggoth” Metaphor Is Outdated

1:06:23 Should I Reframe the P(Doom) Question?

1:12:22 How YOU Can Make a Difference

1:24:43 Can AGI Beat Biology?

1:39:22 Agency and Convergent Goals

1:59:56 Viewer Poll: What Content Should I Make?

2:26:15 AI Warning Shots

2:32:12 More Listener Questions: Debate Tactics, Getting a PhD, Specificity

2:53:53 Closing Thoughts

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About the show:

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