Yield Curves and Real Estate Insights

In this week’s episode of The TreppWire Podcast, we assess the current state of the market, explore the commercial real estate (CRE) yield curve, and check in on residential mortgage rate trends. We unpack recent changes to bank reporting rules that could make it easier for banks to hide troubled loans and conceal signs of distress in their lending portfolios. Turning to property stories of the week, we discuss the 1211 Avenue of the Americas loan, which may be returning to performing status despite contributing to the spike in August's CMBS delinquency rate. We also talk about office bright spots, with Manhattan’s strong office leasing recovery and the surge in AI-driven demand in San Francisco, and review three multifamily sales transactions. To close, we share insights from the LifeComps Report Q2 2025 and examine trends in life insurance commercial mortgage returns. Tune in now.

Episode notes:

• Economic Update & Rate Cuts (0:27)
• Mortgage Rates Impact (8:03)
• Office Loan Returning to Performing (12:44)
• Manhattan Office Leasing Recovery (15:41)
• AI-driven Demand in San Francisco (18:57)
• Bank Report Transparency (24:57)
• Multifamily Sales Transactions (32:11)
• Life Insurance Commercial Mortgage Returns (36:32)
• Programming Notes (41:38)
• Shoutouts (42:55)

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